Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.298777 4.813349 5.373311 6.029256 6.778252 7.608763 8.602058
2025-02-09 3.588225 4.282394 5.094807 6.121078 7.390300 8.917980 10.910208
2025-02-16 3.129281 3.916403 4.889341 6.191339 7.904567 10.104864 13.181640
2025-02-23 2.800798 3.641771 4.728261 6.252608 8.364486 11.229211 15.481963
2025-03-02 2.467166 3.308751 4.435888 6.080030 8.457721 11.835070 17.111647
2025-03-09 2.232401 3.076821 4.244463 6.008108 8.659493 12.587497 19.021377
2025-03-16 2.035549 2.874293 4.067544 5.927168 8.822796 13.280931 20.909344
2025-03-23 1.954648 2.827876 4.106252 6.162796 9.482183 14.799793 24.323516
2025-03-30 1.822149 2.691221 3.995004 6.150519 9.739791 15.693114 26.794367
2025-04-06 1.696323 2.552913 3.866965 6.094678 9.912676 16.453946 29.123788
2025-04-13 1.523872 2.328108 3.584124 5.756998 9.569165 16.275694 29.678722
2025-04-20 1.443897 2.243635 3.518163 5.774412 9.840213 17.214367 32.497160
2025-04-27 1.399441 2.215179 3.544352 5.957797 10.437898 18.845105 36.998333
2025-05-04 1.343560 2.163497 3.527316 6.063104 10.903661 20.285612 41.355164
2025-05-11 1.286924 2.105908 3.494815 6.135890 11.313412 21.664580 45.812636
2025-05-18 1.233329 2.049264 3.458777 6.197262 11.705111 23.052921 50.530914
2025-05-25 1.149370 1.933448 3.308315 6.026580 11.609528 23.400283 52.847176
2025-06-01 1.087178 1.852042 3.213919 5.955412 11.709528 24.178974 56.347526
2025-06-08 1.028838 1.773717 3.119436 5.875289 11.780989 24.900675 59.829850
2025-06-15 1.015744 1.777222 3.177973 6.108558 12.554425 27.329801 68.276168
2025-06-22 0.972676 1.721987 3.120320 6.096405 12.781083 28.497910 73.504937
2025-06-29 0.927579 1.660087 3.045395 6.041125 12.903111 29.426476 78.235597
2025-07-06 0.853968 1.539497 2.847588 5.706818 12.343371 28.584656 77.588285